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UID:pretalx-foss4g-europe-2026-VJT8JW@talks.osgeo.org
DTSTART;TZID=EET:20260630T124500
DTEND;TZID=EET:20260630T125000
DESCRIPTION:Spatially explicit biogas potential assessment requires integra
 ting land cover dynamics\, agricultural census records\, livestock invento
 ries\, and municipal waste generation data into a unified analytical frame
 work. In most national contexts\, each of these dimensions is maintained b
 y a distinct government agency operating at incompatible spatial resolutio
 ns\, under divergent update schedules\, and without a shared classificatio
 n ontology. The result is not data absence but institutional fragmentation
 \, and fragmentation is a structurally different problem from scarcity: th
 e data exists\, is publicly available\, and is updated regularly\, but no 
 coordinating infrastructure connects it into an analysis-ready form. This 
 distinction has direct consequences for platform design. A system built to
  address data scarcity aggregates and estimates\; a system built to addres
 s institutional fragmentation must integrate\, reconcile\, and make the re
 conciliation process itself transparent and reproducible.\nPILAR-2b (Plata
 forma Inteligente de Localização e Aproveitamento de Resíduos para Biog
 ás e Bioprodutos) is an open-source spatial decision-support platform dev
 eloped at CP2b/NIPE-Unicamp\, Brazil\, to produce municipally disaggregate
 d biogas potential estimates for São Paulo State's 645 municipalities thr
 ough a reproducible pipeline that treats data integration as a primary com
 putational challenge rather than a preprocessing step. The platform integr
 ates five heterogeneous government datasets: IBGE agricultural census reco
 rds\, SNIS municipal waste inventories\, MapBiomas 30-metre land cover ras
 ters\, ANEEL energy infrastructure layers\, and CETESB environmental licen
 sing records. These sources present four structurally distinct incompatibi
 lities: administrative unit definitions differ across agencies\; coordinat
 e reference systems require transformation to SIRGAS 2000 UTM Zone 22S\; u
 pdate cycles range from annual to decennial\; and feedstock classification
  schemes lack a common ontology across sources. The data integration pipel
 ine resolves each incompatibility through a fully scripted\, version-contr
 olled transformation chain implemented in Python with GeoPandas\, Shapely\
 , and Fiona\, with no manual reconciliation steps at any stage. Every tran
 sformation from raw institutional input to analysis-ready geospatial layer
  is traceable\, independently executable\, and documented in a public repo
 sitory under GPL 3.0.\nThe platform architecture follows a three-tier micr
 oservices model\, separating presentation\, application logic\, and data p
 ersistence into independently deployable cloud components. The presentatio
 n layer is implemented in Next.js 15 with Mapbox GL JS vector tile renderi
 ng\, enabling simultaneous display of all 645 municipal polygons with sub-
 second pan-and-zoom response without requiring a client-side GIS installat
 ion. The application layer is built on FastAPI 0.104.1 with an asynchronou
 s Python runtime\; NumPy vectorization across all municipalities reduced p
 er-request computation time from approximately 8.2 seconds with sequential
  iteration to 0.9 seconds with vectorised batch processing. The persistenc
 e layer operates on PostgreSQL 15 with PostGIS 3.4\, hosted on Supabase\, 
 with full operational costs ranging from zero to fifty US dollars per mont
 h\, depending on demand\, a range considered accessible for public sector 
 and academic deployment without proprietary licensing.\nIntegrated feedsto
 ck inventories enter a correction factor methodology that decomposes theor
 etical biomass availability into practical mobilisable potential through f
 our sequential\, feedstock-dependent factors: collection efficiency (FC)\,
  competing uses (FCo)\, seasonal availability (FS)\, and logistical constr
 aints (FL). Each factor is independently parameterised per feedstock categ
 ory across 30 feedstock types in four sectors: agriculture\, industry\, li
 vestock\, and urban waste. The FC times FCo times FS times FL multiplicati
 on produces a transparent audit trail from gross theoretical potential to 
 practically actionable municipal estimates\, enabling factor-specific sens
 itivity analysis that is structurally unavailable in single-factor yield a
 pproaches\, where corrections are embedded rather than decomposed.\nApplie
 d to São Paulo State's 645 municipalities\, PILAR-2b quantifies a theoret
 ical biogas potential of 133.82 million m³ CH4/day from consolidated feed
 stock inventories\, reduced to 19.69 million m³/day practical mobilisable
  potential through sequential correction factor application\, representing
  a 14.7% weighted average retention that encodes binding regulatory and lo
 gistical constraints directly in the correction structure. Spatial analysi
 s reveals that 25.1% of municipalities account for 67.0% of the state's pr
 actical potential\, a four-order-of-magnitude spread across the municipal 
 distribution that confirms that state-level aggregation is analytically in
 sufficient for infrastructure investment decisions and that municipal-reso
 lution outputs constitute a structurally distinct planning information pro
 duct. Cross-validation against the 2025 São Paulo biomethane roadmap (Ins
 tituto 17\, PSR\, and Amplum Biogás\, published by FIESP) yields a mean a
 bsolute error of 13.2%\, approaching the 15-20% performance range document
 ed for the DBFZ Biomass Monitor operating under substantially denser Europ
 ean data conditions. All primary analytical workflows are complete within 
 sub-3-second response times under 50 concurrent users in production condit
 ions.\nThe data incompatibility challenges resolved by this pipeline\, inc
 luding misaligned administrative units\, divergent update cycles\, and abs
 ent cross-agency classification standards\, recur structurally wherever po
 licy-relevant energy assessments depend on combining institutionally separ
 ated government sources. The São Paulo deployment demonstrates that these
  challenges are tractable within a fully open\, browser-accessible stack a
 t operational costs within reach of public institutions. PILAR-2b is desig
 ned for direct replication in any national or subnational context where Ma
 pBiomas-equivalent land cover data\, agricultural census records\, and mun
 icipal waste inventories achieve sufficient completeness\, a condition alr
 eady met across multiple Brazilian states and increasingly across Latin Am
 erican\, African\, and Southeast Asian contexts where open satellite and c
 ensus data are advancing faster than institutional coordination. The resul
 t is not a regional tool but a methodological blueprint: an open geospatia
 l integration architecture replicable wherever fragmented data governance\
 , not technical capacity\, is the binding constraint on evidence-based ene
 rgy planning.
DTSTAMP:20260605T011258Z
LOCATION:A01
SUMMARY:PILAR-2b: An Open Geospatial Pipeline for Biogas Potential Assessme
 nt in Institutionally Fragmented Data Environments - Lucas Nakamura Cerejo
URL:https://talks.osgeo.org/foss4g-europe-2026/talk/VJT8JW/
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