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UID:pretalx-foss4g-europe-2026-QADHQX@talks.osgeo.org
DTSTART;TZID=EET:20260630T143000
DTEND;TZID=EET:20260630T150000
DESCRIPTION:Agriculture accounts for approximately 70% of global freshwater
  withdrawals and remains highly sensitive to climate variability. Therefor
 e\, timely estimates of agricultural water use are crucial for effective b
 asin planning\, water-stress diagnostics\, and informed climate adaptation
  strategies.\n\nIn Colombia\, the National Water Study (Estudio Nacional d
 el Agua\, ENA) is the official instrument for quantifying water demand acr
 oss sectors. It relies on an FAO-56 soil–water balance approach that req
 uires extensive input data and numerous intermediate calculations  (IDEAM 
 2023). Because this method is so operationally demanding\, the ENA is publ
 ished only once every four years and suffers from a significant reporting 
 lag. For instance\, the ENA 2022 report relies on data from 2020. Conseque
 ntly\, these estimates are often outdated by the time of publication\, and
  lack the capacity to capture intra-annual variability driven by phenomena
  such as El Niño and La Niña.\n\nThis research therefore investigates wh
 ether freely available satellite data can support the ENA reporting\, enab
 ling more continuous and timely monitoring. The study evaluates FAO's WaPO
 R (Water Productivity through Open access to Remotely sensed-derived data)
  through an open-source\, reproducible framework of publicly available not
 ebooks. It combines WaPOR's monthly actual evapotranspiration and intercep
 tion (AETI) and precipitation products with ENA's agro-climatic crop mask 
 to restrict the analysis to agricultural areas and perform pixel-level cal
 culations of water consumption. \n\nThe resulting blue water volumes and i
 rrigation water withdrawals were aggregated at the sub-basin level and com
 pared with official ENA estimates for 2020. Apart from the country-level a
 nalysis\, the methodology was applied to a specific zoom-in area located w
 ithin the Magdalena province. This area is characterized by a high dominan
 ce of banana and oil palm (Cruz 2020)\, which allowed a specific compariso
 n between WaPOR-derived evapotranspiration values and the expected agricul
 tural patterns. This selection was based on two main criteria: first\, the
  area exhibits a relatively homogeneous surface according to the FAO-WaPOR
  (L3-AETI-M - spatial resolution of 30m) layer which facilitates the spati
 al analysis and interpretation of results\; however\, it should be noted t
 hat the Level 2 (L2-AETI-M  - spatial resolution of 100m) product will be 
 used for the analysis\, consistent with the methodology applied across the
  entire national territory. Second\, crop mask data from IDEAM reveal that
  the region contains a significant proportion of two key permanent crops: 
 oil palm and banana \n\nThe results show a strong spatial agreement (R² =
  0.83)\, indicating consistent identification of priority basins\, althoug
 h WaPOR estimates are approximately 66% of ENA values\, with similar patte
 rns for irrigation withdrawals. This systematic offset is consistent with 
 the conceptual difference between the two approaches: ENA estimates potent
 ial crop water demand under optimal conditions using FAO-56 crop coefficie
 nts\, while WaPOR captures actual evapotranspiration under real field cons
 traints. This difference becomes evident when analysing seasonal behaviour
 : in the Caribbean and Magdalena basins\, which concentrate the largest ag
 ricultural areas\, spatial agreement is notably high during the dry season
  but drops significantly with the onset of the first rainy season. \n\nThe
  detailed analyses for the Magdalena area shows that WaPOR-derived evapotr
 anspiration values are slightly lower than ENA estimates for both banana a
 nd oil palm\, consistent with the national findings. The seasonal structur
 e of this disagreement reveals that January is the only month where the re
 lationship inverts\, with WaPOR marginally exceeding ENA\, a pattern consi
 stent with dry-season dynamics in which low atmospheric humidity allows Wa
 POR's energy balance approach to capture relatively high actual ET. From F
 ebruary onwards\, ENA overtakes WaPOR\, and the gap widens progressively t
 hrough the wet season transition\, reaching its annual peak in May — pre
 cisely when the first rainy season is established — and a secondary peak
  in October\, coinciding with the second rainfall peak over the region. Th
 is seasonally structured bias confirms that the difference between the two
  approaches is not a random but a response to Colombia's climate variabili
 ty.\n\nThe developed framework produces spatial outputs and results  using
  freely available tools and data sources such as the WaPOR data which  is 
 provided in near-real-time layers of actual evapotranspiration\, biomass p
 roduction\, and water productivity at resolutions from 30 m to 300 m globa
 lly. The potential of these products for agricultural water monitoring is 
 not new — WaPOR has already been applied in other contexts\, such as the
  assessment of irrigation performance at a sugarcane estate in Mozambique 
 (Chukalla et al. 2022) but its application at a national scale in Colombia
  for water demand reporting remains largely unexplored. This study aims to
  contribute to that evidence base in Latin America\, and to motivate furth
 er exploration of WaPOR's potential in other regions where timely\, low-co
 st alternatives to conventional water accounting methods are needed. By op
 enly sharing the methodological framework through accessible notebooks\, t
 his research actively promotes reproducibility and collaborative science\,
  which are core tenets of the FOSS4G community. It empowers local water au
 thorities\, researchers\, and policymakers in data-scarce regions to indep
 endently verify\, adapt\, and scale the approach to their specific hydrocl
 imatic contexts. Furthermore\, integrating these Python-based workflows wi
 th QGIS demonstrates how open-source ecosystems can bridge the gap between
  complex satellite data and operational water management\, ultimately demo
 cratizing access to critical climate adaptation tools.
DTSTAMP:20260605T011141Z
LOCATION:A01
SUMMARY:Evaluating the application of FAO-WaPOR data to support Colombia’
 s National Water Study on water consumption in the agricultural sector - L
 aura Agudelo
URL:https://talks.osgeo.org/foss4g-europe-2026/talk/QADHQX/
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