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UID:pretalx-foss4g-2026-87ZRJH@talks.osgeo.org
DTSTART;TZID=JST:20260902T160000
DTEND;TZID=JST:20260902T163000
DESCRIPTION:Understanding how landscapes evolve across decades to millennia
  is fundamental for environmental planning\, hazard mitigation\, infrastru
 cture management\, and heritage protection. Many environmental processes a
 ffecting land stability operate at timescales far exceeding typical planni
 ng horizons. Hillslope diffusion\, fluvial incision\, sediment transport\,
  and gradual terrain adjustment continuously reshape catchments and river 
 networks\, influencing erosion risk\, water quality\, and the preservation
  of archaeological and culturally significant features. However\, contempo
 rary geospatial workflows are largely observational. Geographic Informatio
 n Systems (GIS) and remote sensing platforms excel at representing present
  conditions and monitoring short-term change\, yet provide limited capacit
 y to evaluate how landscapes may respond to long-term environmental or hum
 an disturbances. Consequently\, planners and land managers must often make
  decisions without accessible tools for understanding long-term terrain re
 sponse.\n\nNumerical landscape evolution models (LEMs) offer a framework f
 or investigating long-term terrain change. A LEM is a computational model 
 that represents a landscape as a digital surface and simulates how its ele
 vation evolves over time according to governing physical relationships bet
 ween topography and environmental forcing. Rather than analysing a single 
 snapshot of terrain\, the model iteratively updates the land surface acros
 s many time steps\, allowing users to explore how landscapes may respond t
 o natural variability or human intervention. Unlike conventional spatial a
 nalysis\, which evaluates patterns at a fixed moment\, LEMs simulate dynam
 ic landscape behaviour and enable both reconstruction of past terrain cond
 itions and exploration of potential future environmental states. For geomo
 rphologists\, they function as a virtual laboratory for examining Earth-su
 rface change over timescales that cannot be directly observed. \n\nDespite
  their scientific maturity\, LEMs remain largely absent from operational g
 eospatial practice\, and it is still unclear how they can be effectively a
 pplied in real-world decision-making contexts. To investigate this issue\,
  we conducted a comprehensive systematic review of landscape evolution mod
 elling studies focused on anthropogenic landforms. The review identifies a
  restricted scope of application. Existing implementations are concentrate
 d predominantly within mining-related environments\, particularly post-ext
 raction rehabilitation landscapes\, with comparatively little use in other
  human-modified terrains. While many studies simulate overall landscape ev
 olution\, they seldom examine the evolution of specific localized features
  within those landscapes that are directly relevant to management or plann
 ing. Furthermore\, stakeholder or community participation is largely absen
 t\; modelling activities are typically undertaken as research-driven acade
 mic exercises rather than collaborative decision-support tools.\n\nFollowi
 ng the review\, we suggest that the principal barrier preventing broader a
 doption of landscape evolution models is not scientific validity but geosp
 atial usability. Existing modelling frameworks provide physically robust p
 rocess simulation\, yet they remain inaccessible to most practitioners out
 side geomorphology and scientific computing. Configuration typically requi
 res scripting knowledge\, parameter editing through code\, and specialised
  understanding of numerical modelling workflows. Consequently planners\, h
 eritage practitioners\, and community stakeholders cannot meaningfully int
 eract with models even when the questions addressed are directly relevant 
 to land management. The challenge\, therefore\, lies not in modelling capa
 bility but in translating simulation into a form usable within everyday ge
 ospatial practice.\n\nBuilding on this observation\, we propose an approac
 h centred on intuitive landscape evolution modelling. Rather than position
 ing numerical simulation as a specialised scientific activity\, the study 
 extends landscape evolution modelling into an accessible interactive envir
 onment that communities can freely use and explore. The modelling backend 
 is implemented using Landlab\, an open source Python library that provides
  modular components for representing Earth surface processes\, including h
 ydrological routing\, fluvial incision\, sediment transport\, and hillslop
 e diffusion. This modelling engine is connected to a graphical user interf
 ace (GUI) developed using Qt for Python\, allowing model configuration and
  execution to occur through direct visual interaction rather than scriptin
 g. Through the interface\, users can define the area to be simulated\, spe
 cify simulation duration and timestep structure\, and choose which geomorp
 hic processes to include\, all without modifying code. In this way\, proce
 ss-based geomorphic modelling is translated into a form that can be unders
 tood and used without scientific computing expertise.\n\nSimulation output
 s are presented through interactive two dimensional and three dimensional 
 terrain visualisations\, elevation change maps\, and comparisons between i
 nitial and simulated topography. Rather than producing static results\, th
 e system allows landscape change to be observed progressively across exten
 ded timescales. Users can explore how environmental conditions influence g
 radual terrain development and examine how different assumptions alter lon
 g term outcomes. By visualising processes that normally occur over centuri
 es to millennia\, the model supports interpretation of environmental dynam
 ics that cannot be directly observed within human lifetimes and encourages
  discussion about potential future landscape states.\n\nFor participatory 
 application\, the framework is applied to Indigenous landscapes in Aotearo
 a New Zealand\, where relationships with ancestral land emphasise continui
 ty across generations. The project seeks to undertake community engagement
  workshops with Māori communities in which participants interact directly
  with simulations and collectively examine possible environmental futures.
  Participants explore alternative scenarios and discuss the implications o
 f gradual environmental change for culturally significant landscape featur
 es. Through this collaborative process\, modelling becomes a shared interp
 retive activity that supports dialogue and understanding rather than a pur
 ely technical analysis conducted by researchers alone.\n\nThis engagement 
 reveals an additional dimension often absent from numerical geomorphology.
  The study highlights the importance of geoethics within landscape evoluti
 on modelling by incorporating Indigenous knowledge and stewardship perspec
 tives into model interpretation. The simulations function as a medium for 
 communication between scientific understanding and community knowledge\, s
 upporting culturally grounded responses to environmental change. By combin
 ing accessible modelling\, transparent workflows\, and participatory engag
 ement\, the work demonstrates how predictive environmental modelling can m
 ove beyond academic research and contribute to collaborative environmental
  stewardship and long term landscape care.\n\nFinally\, the study emphasis
 es methodological transparency through an explicitly open and reproducible
  workflow. The system is implemented entirely using freely available open-
 source geospatial software\, and the modelling code\, configuration files\
 , and demonstration datasets will be publicly released under an open-sourc
 e licence. This allows independent verification of results\, replication o
 f simulations\, and adaptation of the framework to different environmental
  and planning contexts. By removing dependence on proprietary platforms\, 
 the approach lowers practical barriers for practitioners and communities w
 hile supporting reproducible research standards. In doing so\, the work po
 sitions landscape evolution modelling as a transparent and transferable an
 alytical tool rather than a closed\, specialist research product.
DTSTAMP:20260717T225753Z
LOCATION:Cosmos2
SUMMARY:Shared Landscapes\, Shared Futures: Visual Landscape Evolution Mode
 lling for Community Stewardship - Vinuri Piyathilake
URL:https://talks.osgeo.org/foss4g-2026/talk/87ZRJH/
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